Analyse technique Forex du 11/04/2017

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Chaque matin, l’équipe de Forex.fr vous propose l’analyse technique du jour pour les principaux cross du marché des changes pour la séance du 11/04/2017.

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Weekly analysis- Elliott waves for Forex correlation analysis – Gold still rising

Gold weekly ReviewWave AnalysisAs previously forecasted, the impulsive wave (c) traded massively to the upper side  but is yet to reach our target at 1396.94. This is a pivotal retracement level on the weekly chart and will likely restrict any movements to the upper side, thus, as long as this level protects any invasion to the upper side, we expect a possible bullish momentum to the upper side towards this retracement level. A break above this level will mean we’re waiting for retracements back the just broken  level to rebuy the green bar. This commodity should be traded alongside Silver, these pairs will have a similar price action during this intraday.
Trade Recommendations: Expect a possible bullish momentum towards 1396.94Oil weekly ReviewWave Analysis:For almost a fortnight, the crude oil has been rising steadily and will likely continue further to the upper side but should not go beyond the resistance level 56.87. This level has a acted as a key reversal  for almost a two months and will likely act as a key level now that the price is approaching it. Although this upward rally is highly anticipated, we choose to remain flat momentarily and only go long upon  a clear bearish retracement  towards 53.71 to give us low risk buy opportunity. Trade crude oil alongside Canadian. The value of most canadian pairs are affected by the price oil.Trade RecommendationIf you are not short already, wait for minor bearish pullbacks to go long with an ideal target at 56.87.SPX500 weekly ReviewWave Analysis:Despite the bearish engulfing candle seen on 5th April 2017, SPX500 retraced to the upper side and is currently rallying around the same place where this engulfing opened, 2361.75. Now is the best time to short SPX500 at low risk; this view is supported by the fact that this level acted as a key retracement level on 8th March 2017 when the price was going up and will likely act as a key retracement level now that the price is below it. As long as the price remains below this level we expect an acceleration to the lower side. This view can only be invalidated in case the pair end up above 2369.65, if this is the case, then we’ll wait for a clear break above 2378.40 to confirm the continuation of the upward rally. Trade Recommendations: Go short with an ideal target at 2276.  Save
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USD/CAD : possible appréciation du dollar Canadien sur fond de bonnes publications économiques

L’évolution de l’emploi en mars bien au-dessus du consensus (19 400 créations contre 5 000 anticipées), l’indice PMI Ivey au-dessus des prévisions et bien au-dessus de 50 ce qui confirme une expansion de l&…

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Company News – What are Advantages of FreshForex Tradable Bonus 101%?

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Forex Technical Analysis: Trend potential – Consider Entering Long in 111.10 and 110.46 Areas

USDJPY – DownDaily chart: the price is still within lower Bollinger envelope (109.23-111.93). ADX parameters are changing. Н4: here we see attempt to break upper envelope along with weak ADX parameters. This attempt doesn’t seem to be successful, so we will expect rollback to region of middle Bollinger band (110.90). Another support level is around lower Bollinger band (110.30) Н1: here we see preparation of technical downside correction to 111.10 and 110.46 region (middle and lower Bollinger bands). Expectations: drop to one of these levels – 111.10 or 110.46. After that, bulls may try to push the price towards 111.71 Trading signals: consider looking for upside entry points at 111.10 or 110.46 aiming at 111.71
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Forex Technical Analysis: Trend potential – Consider Entering Down at Upside Rollback

GBPUSD – FlatDaily chart: support level at 1.02407 (middle Bollinger band) is broken, and the price may drop to lower Bollinger band (1.2181) without interruption. However, ADX doesn’t show active trend, so we may see flat. Н4: there is technical upside correction towards middle Bollinger band (1.2442) following several pinbars beyond Bollinger envelope borders. Support level is at 1.2363 (lower Bollinger band). Н1: here resistance level is at 1.2421 (upper Bollinger band), but ADX already supports bulls. Expectations: Core scenario – touching 1.2421 followed by drop to 1.2363 Alternative scenario – shot to 1.2442 and then decline. Trading signals: consider entering short after correction to region of 1.2421-1.2443.
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Forex Technical Analysis: Trend potential – New Bearish Attack Possible

EURUSD – UpDaily chart: we are observing very active trending ADX, that may mean preparing breakout of support level at 1.0563 (lower Bollinger band). The next targets in mid-term are likely to be levels 1.05 and 1.0465 (in case of this scenario) aiming at 1.0352, where significant demand may be within bullish Over&Under pattern. Н4: 5 pinbars beyond Bollinger envelopes borders is correction signal. Correction is likely to reach middle Bollinger band (1.0643), from there one may consider selling to 1.0563 or lower again. Н1: as we may see resistance in 1.0600 area is quite strong creating bearish inside bar. Bears may attack immediately. Expectations: Core scenario – upside rollback to 1.0643 region followed by drop to 1.0563 Alternative scenario – direct drop to 1.05 or lower to 1.0465 Trading signals: consider entering short (the best entry point is 1.0643)
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Elliott waves for Forex correlation analysis – Expect a second retest of 111.94

USDJPY – Down Wave Analysis: Instead of going short as previously forecasted, the pair traded slightly to the lower side but could not go beyond 110.64. This pair is still bearish as long as it remains below 110.64, the upward rally that began the last two trading days is a mere correction and should not go beyond 111.94 from where we’ll be looking to short the US Dollar at low risk. Ideally, we expect a possible rebound from 110.94 to sell this pair. This view can only be invalidated in case the price end up above 111.94, if this is the case, then an accelaration to the upperside is inevitable. USDJPY Daily Chart This pair should be traded alongside CADJPY, NZDJPY, EURJPY, and CHFJPY. This pairs will have a similar price action during this intraday. Trade Recommendations: If you’re not short already, wait and sell around 111.94 Save
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Elliott waves for Forex correlation analysis – The Cable below 1.24075

GBPUSD – Flat Wave Analysis: During the previous trading day on 7th April 2017, the cable broke below the contracting wedge, headed further to the lower side and even broke below the short term support line 1.24085. As long as the price remains below 1.24085 (shown on the daily chart below), we expect a possible bearish price rally towards 1.2156 or even lower. This view is supported by the fact that the weekly chart, shown below, is pretty much bearish and shows that the price is pulling back from a key retracement level 1.2571 . As long as this protects any invasion to the upper side, we expect a possible momentum to the lower side with an ideal target at 1.10. GBPUSD Daily Chart According to the daily chart above, we’re short as long as the pair remains below 1.24078. GBPUSD Weekly Chart The weekly chart is equally bearish and will head further to the lowerside GBPUSD Monthly Chart The monthly chart has been consolidating for the past 5 months This pair should be traded alongside GBPHKD, EURUSD and AUDUSD. These pairs will have a similar price action during this intraday. Trade Recommendations: Expect a possible bearish momentum towards 1.10. Save
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Elliott waves for Forex correlation analysis – EURUSD Still short

EURUSD – Up Wave Analysis: As previously forecasted, after retracing towards 1.06767, Euro traded relentlessly to the lower side and even broke below a key short term support level 1.06194 and is still pretty much bearish. Although we expect further momentum to the lower side we choose to remain flat momentarily and wait for minor retracements to the just broken support to go short at low risk. This view is only valid on the 4hr chart set up, the daily, and weekly charts shows a possible loss of downward momentum and could rebound for long. The monthly chat howver is still pretty much bearish and will head further to the lowerside during this month. EURUSD Daily Chart From the daily chart, we expect a possible rebound from the lower supportive trendline to go long. EURUSD Weekly Chart On the weekly chart above, we expect a possible break below 1.04682 to continue short with an ideal target at 1.03 Expect a similar wave count in AUDUSD, GBPUSD, and NZDUSD. These pairs will have a similar price action during this intraday. Trade Recommendations: During this week, expect a possible rebound from 1.05030 to go long. A break below 1.040 will mean we’re waiting for a break below 1.03384 to confirm the continuation of the bearish price movements. Save
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